How ProxyArena rounds, prices, payouts, settlement and Beta Points work, in plain language.
ProxyArena is a parimutuel prediction market on Base. You call BTC, ETH and SOL higher or lower in live rounds, or back outcomes in scheduled markets on crypto prices, macro data, sport, on-chain data and politics. Everyone in a round gets the same price, winners split the losing pool, and there is no house on the other side.
Yes. ProxyArena is in an open beta that runs on free Beta Points. Connect a wallet and you are in the next round, with no signup.
No. Points are free, cannot be bought, and have no cash value. They cannot be redeemed today. Conversion of points to PROXY is intended at token launch, subject to eligibility and to rules published before conversion opens.
Anyone with a wallet, where eligible. You must be at least 18 to play, and older where local law requires.
BTC, ETH and SOL each run 5 minute, 15 minute and hourly rounds on a fixed clock. You pick Higher or Lower while the round is open. Staking closes before the price to beat is read, so nobody sees it first, and the round then settles on the median of five exchange prices.
Winners split the losing pool pro rata after a flat 2% rake, capped at the losing pool. Everyone on the winning side settles at the same multiplier, however much they staked.
Your counterparty is the other side of the pool. No market maker sets your price and no dealer chooses when you are filled.
No. The strike is read on a window that opens only after staking closes. Being faster, closer or better connected buys nothing.
Every stake is refunded in full, with no rake. A round is voided when too few fresh price sources report, when the sources disagree too far, on an exact tie, or when one side of the pool is empty.
Settles on the median of five exchange prices, read after staking closes. Nobody chooses the winner of a live price round, and each settled round publishes the prices, sources and times it settled on, so anyone can redo the maths.
Nine live round series (BTC, ETH and SOL at 5 minutes, 15 minutes and 1 hour) and scheduled markets in crypto prices, macro prints, sport, on-chain and commodities, and politics and policy. A pool needs everyone in the same round at the same time, so ProxyArena lists scheduled, recurring series rather than one-off questions.
The desk. A result is proposed by one administrator, open to public challenge for 24 hours, and confirmed by a second administrator before payout. A creator who wrote the market never decides it.
Yes, as an approved creator. Apply with a wallet and a social handle, write a market from a template, and the desk checks it, opens it and settles it in public. Creators earn a share of the venue fee on their markets, paid in points.
The agent connector is in build. When it ships, you connect the assistant you already use: it reads every market and proposes a position, and nothing is staked until you approve it. Assistants get the same odds as every person.
Yes. On the Responsible Play page you can set daily and weekly staking limits, session reminders and self-exclusion. The venue enforces limits and breaks on your account, on every device.
No house, no speed edge and checkable results become contract rules, and rounds settle on-chain, with each receipt carrying the transaction and the signed price data. Today the beta runs the same rules with practice liquidity in the pools.
www.proxyarena.com is the only ProxyArena site and @proxyarena the only ProxyArena account on X. ProxyArena never sends the first direct message. Questions go to contact@proxyarena.com.
Every round runs on the rules above, and every settled round publishes its receipt.